I have gotten a couple calls so I figured I would make a post relating to tropical storm Elsa and how I believe it will impact the Lower Suwannee River and coastal areas around us.
Bad news is that the storm is continuing on a North to Northwest track which will bring it into the Gulf later today. Currently Elsa is forecast to track along the West coast of Florida then come ashore here along the Hidden Coast, with Suwannee being in the bullseye at this time.
If you are in Suwannee on Wednesday expect 2-3 feet of water above a regular “spring tide” level, as we have a new moon this week. The highest tide will occur mid day so when the storm gets here will be important as the lunar tide fluctuation is 3.5-4.0 feet this week. Also if you live up the river as I do, we might get higher water than they do along the coast, the River water piles up against the flooding Gulf water and has no where to go!
The good news is that the storm is expected to remain a tropical storm and not become a hurricane. For Suwannee, we need the storm to come ashore South of Cedar Key, this will keep the worst of the wind and flooding South of us.
I will try and post updates but, I will be making preparations at my place so I am just not sure when that will be.